ML//Training//dataset//model collapse

An ouroboros in gradient space: train on your own outputs, and each generation forgets a little more of what made the original interesting. The tail distribution erodes first, then the whole distribution narrows.


An ouroboros in gradient space: train on your own outputs, and each generation forgets a little more of what made the original interesting. The tail distribution erodes first, then the whole distribution narrows.

Generation 1: model produces plausible but slightly averaged outputs. Generation 2: trains on generation 1, loses more variance. Generation N: converges to a bland, mode-seeking average.

The tails are the first casualty — rare events, unusual phrasings, minority perspectives, edge cases. The model forgets what it never saw enough of.

Especially dangerous for reasoning: the most sophisticated reasoning chains live in the tail of the pretraining distribution. Once lost, no amount of RL or extended thinking recovers them — pretraining is the ceiling.

Different from mode collapse in GANs: mode collapse is the generator ignoring modes during training. Model collapse is the training DATA losing modes across generations.

The uncomfortable implication: as AI-generated content floods the internet, future models trained on web data inherit compounding distortions.